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  2. Draft Memorial Tribute for the National Academy of Engineering ...

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~frank/PW/whittle_nae.pdf
    18 Aug 2021: later awarded the Nobel Prize in Economics for empirical research on cause and effect in the. ... economic phenomena. His book Probability via Expectation (1970, expanded in 2000) is an exposition of probability.
  3. Fisher, Statistics, and Randomization

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/talk/fisher-2022/slides.pdf
    3 Jun 2024: Outline. 1 Fisher and randomizationRole 1: Avoid hidden biasRole 2: Justification of experimental inferenceRole 3: Randomization tests. ... 3 Provide a basis for exact tests of significance and related interval estimates.
  4. 93 1 TELE1RAFFIC AND DATA1RAFFIC in a Period of ...

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~frank/PAPERS/cin.pdf
    8 May 2009: In Arrow K J and Intriligator M D, editors, Handbook of Mathematical Economics, Vol 1, pages 285330, North Holland, 1981.
  5. The Randomization Principle in Causal Inference: A Modern Look ...

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/talk/imperial-2022/slides.pdf
    3 Jun 2024: Pitman (1937).“Significance Tests Which May Be Applied To Samples From Any Populations”. ... What is randomization test? Below: a precise description of conditional randomization tests that is a folklore among a small group ofcausal inference
  6. 41 Paper 1, Section I 7H StatisticsLet x1, . ...

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~lab85/resources/Stats2013.pdf
    28 Apr 2023: It. is desired to test H0 : f(x) = 1 against H1 : f(x) = 2x. ... Let δ : [0, 1] {0, 1} define a test by δ(x1) = i ‘accept Hi’.
  7. 39 Paper 1, Section I6H Statistics State the Rao-Blackwell ...

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~lab85/resources/Stats2022.pdf
    27 Apr 2023: d) Describe a test of size α for the null hypothesis H0 : σ21 = σ. ... Suppose thereexists a likelihood ratio test of size α for H0 against H1.
  8. 25 1/I/3D Statistics Let X1, . . . ,Xn ...

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~lab85/resources/Stats2001.pdf
    28 Apr 2023: Define the terms size and power for a test of onesimple hypothesis against another. ... Part IB. 26. 2/II/12D Statistics. What is meant by a generalized likelihood ratio test?
  9. 46 A1/12 B1/15 Principles of Statistics (i) A public ...

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~lab85/resources/PoS2003.pdf
    28 Apr 2023: How might the parametric bootstrapbe used to obtain a test of H0 of exact size α? ... Your account should include a discussion of natural statistics andtheir properties and of various conditional tests on natural parameters.
  10. 29 1/I/7C Statistics A random sample X1, . . ...

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~lab85/resources/Stats2006.pdf
    28 Apr 2023: It is desired to test the hypothesis H0 : θ 0 against thealternative H1 : θ > 0. ... Show that there is a uniformly most powerful test of size α = 1/20and identify a critical region for such a test in the case n = 9.
  11. IB Statistics Michael TehranchiExample sheet 2 of 3 Lent ...

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~mike/stats/Example2.pdf
    27 Feb 2019: 8. Let X1,. ,Xniid Exp(θ). Find the likelihood ratio test of size α of H0 : θ = θ0 against. ... the size α likelihood ratio test.11. Statisticians A and B obtain independent samples X1,.
  12. 45 Paper 1, Section I 7H StatisticsLet X1, . ...

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~lab85/resources/Stats2016.pdf
    28 Apr 2023: Find the criticalregion of the most powerful test of size α for the hypotheses H0 : λ = 1 versus H1 : λ = 2.Determine whether or not this test is uniformly most powerful ... Prove that the power function of this test is of theform w(α,β,σ2) =
  13. 8 Apr 2017: In Section 3 we explain how several RP tests can beaggregated into a single test that combines the powers of each of the tests. ... We also compare the power of RP tests to the global test procedure of Goeman et al.
  14. STATISTICAL MODELLING Part IIC / Michaelmas 2022Example Sheet 3 ...

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/teaching/modelling-2022/E3.pdf
    3 Jun 2024: Pick a college (possibly your own) and test whether it is an outlier. ... What is the issue withusing your test to now determine whether this college is an outlier?
  15. 57 1/II/27I Principles of Statistics Suppose that X has ...

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~lab85/resources/PoS2007.pdf
    28 Apr 2023: If it is, how (according to the conditionalityprinciple) do we test hypotheses on ψ? ... Explain when this test may be used. (ii) Independent identically-distributed observations X1,.
  16. SISCER Module 15 Practice 2: Matching/Weighting and Sensitivity…

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/teaching/siscer-2023/S2.pdf
    3 Jun 2024: mean (SD)) "0.35 (0.48)" "0.27 (0.45)"## dietary.adequacy.missingind (mean (SD)) "0.32 (0.47)" "0.23 (0.42)"## Stratified by physically.inactive## p test## n "" ""## sex (%) ... Wilcoxon signed rank test, a randomization test.# This is only appliable to
  17. Practical: Mendelian randomization

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/teaching/siscer-2023/P3.pdf
    3 Jun 2024: 7. Perform the default Mendelian randomisation tests using the function mr.
  18. STATISTICAL MODELLING Part IIC, Michaelmas 2019Practical 5: ANOVA and …

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/teaching/modelling-2022/P5S.pdf
    3 Jun 2024: fit. Would it be possible to compare EssayMarksLM2 and EssayMarksLM5 through an F-test? ... We can check that theanova function does not perform a test:anova(EssayMarksLM2,EssayMarksLM4).
  19. 31 1/I/3H Statistics Derive the least squares estimators α̂ ...

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~lab85/resources/Stats2003.pdf
    28 Apr 2023: Derive carefully the test of homogeneity and test the hypothesis that the distributions ofscores among students in the two cities are the same. ... Conduct a goodness-of-fit test at the 0.05 level for the null hypothesis that the coins areall fair.
  20. 41 Paper 1, Section I 7H StatisticsSuppose that X1, ...

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~lab85/resources/Stats2015.pdf
    28 Apr 2023: For 0 < α < 1, derive the test that is most powerful among all tests of size atmost α. ... x6. Explain how to obtain anapproximate size 0.05 test using the value of T.
  21. BETS: The dangers of selection bias in early analyses ...

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/talk/ido-2021/slides.pdf
    3 Jun 2024: False negative test: Her first test was negative. A few days later she wastested again and the result came back positive. ... The principle is to only include cases as Wuhan-exported that pass a “beyond areasonable doubt” test.
  22. 83 Paper 1, Section II29J Principles of Statistics Let ...

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~lab85/resources/PoS2021.pdf
    28 Apr 2023: b) Suppose you do not have access to the quantiles of the sampling distribution ofthe Kolmogorov–Smirnov test statistic. ... Describe a test of H0 : F = F0 with size exactly 1/(m 1).
  23. BETS: The dangers of selection bias in early analyses ...

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/talk/osu-2020/slides.pdf
    3 Jun 2024: False negative test: Her first test was negative. A few days later she wastested again and the result came back positive. ... The principle is to only include cases as Wuhan-exported that pass a “beyond areasonable doubt” test.
  24. 35 1/I/7H Statistics A Bayesian statistician observes a random ...

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~lab85/resources/Stats2008.pdf
    28 Apr 2023: ii) Find the form of the size-α likelihood–ratio test of the hypothesis. ... The t-test of the null hypothesis that α = 0 against an unrestricted alternativedoes not reject the null hypothesis.
  25. 45 Paper 1, Section I 6H StatisticsLet X1, . ...

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~lab85/resources/Stats2021.pdf
    27 Apr 2023: Conduct a 5% significance level test of the null hypothesis that the medicine andplacebo have the same effect, against the alternative that their effects differ. ... Find a uniformly most powerful test of size α of H0 : θ = 0 againstH1 : θ > 0.
  26. Tel 01223 334940 e-mail masters-assistant@christs.cam.ac.uk web:…

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~frank/PAPERS/DfTHS2.pdf
    5 Oct 2015: the calculation of the economic benefits generated by HS2. Using the terminology of. ... Economic Case for HS2 (October 2013) of a distribution of benefit cost ratios, reflecting.
  27. The Cycle of Statistical Research Qingyuan Zhao Statistical…

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/talk/ccimi-2020/slides.pdf
    3 Jun 2024: History. Three movements:. Around 1900: Standard deviation, correlation, regression analysis, method ofmoments, χ2-test, student’s t-test,. ... 1930s – 1940s: Confidence intervals, power of a statistical test, stratifiedsampling, decision theory
  28. PRINCIPLES OF STATISTICS – EXAMPLES 2/4 Part II, Michaelmas ...

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~lab85/resources/PoSM22b.pdf
    27 Apr 2023: From this limiting result: (i) derive a test for the hypothesis H0 : θ = θ0 vs. ... For all these models, derive explicit expressions for the likelihood ratio test statistic ofa simple hypothesis test of H0 : θ = θ0, θ0 Θ, vs.
  29. 42 Paper 1, Section I 7H StatisticsConsider an estimator ...

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~lab85/resources/Stats2014.pdf
    28 Apr 2023: You do not need to derive the test.] What conclusion shouldbe reported to the doctor? ... What is the size of this test? Write down an expression forits power.
  30. 42 Paper 1, Section I 7H StatisticsX1, X2, . ...

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~lab85/resources/Stats2018.pdf
    27 Apr 2023: 8H StatisticsDefine a simple hypothesis. Define the terms size and power for a test of one simple. ... Construct a best test of size 0.05 for the null hypothesis.
  31. STATISTICS Part IBExample Sheet 2 (of 3) Lent 2020 ...

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~sb2116/Statistics_IB/Qu2.pdf
    17 Feb 2020: By first deriving the MLEs under each hypothesis, show that the likelihood ratio andPearson’s chi-squared tests are identical to those for the independence test. ... Is the test uniformly most powerfulfor testing H0 : θ = θ0 against H1 : θ > θ0?
  32. CAUSAL INFERENCE Part III / Michaelmas 2023Example Sheet 3 ...

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/teaching/causal-2023/E3.pdf
    3 Jun 2024: 1. Γ πi/(1 πi)πn1i/(1 πn1i). Γ, i [n1]. For the sign test (see ES1 Q8b), derive a “upper bounding” asymptotic randomization p-value for thismodel.
  33. BETS: The dangers of selection bias in early analyses ...

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/talk/ghent-2021/slides.pdf
    3 Jun 2024: False negative test: Her first test was negative. A few days later she wastested again and the result came back positive. ... The principle is to only include cases as Wuhan-exported that pass a “beyond areasonable doubt” test.
  34. STATISTICS Part IBExample Sheet 3 (of 3) Lent 2022 ...

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~lab85/resources/StatsL23c.pdf
    27 Apr 2023: Find thelikelihood ratio test of size α. (b) The scientist repeats the test in part (a) for each characteristic j = 1,. ... ratio test of equality of means rejects H0 if. 1I1. Ii=1 ni(Y i Y )2.
  35. 80 Paper 3, Section II27I Principles of Statistics What ...

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~lab85/resources/PoS2009.pdf
    28 Apr 2023: For a problem with random variable X and real parameter θ, define monotonelikelihood ratio (MLR) and monotone test. ... Let φ be a monotonetest, with power function γ() , and let φ′ be any other test, with power function γ′().
  36. SISCER Module 12 Lecture 6: Negative Controls and…

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/teaching/siscer-2023/L6.pdf
    3 Jun 2024: 2020). Can labor market policies reduce deaths ofdespair? Journal of health economics, 74:102372.
  37. 53 1/II/27J Principles of Statistics (a) What is a ...

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~lab85/resources/PoS2006.pdf
    28 Apr 2023: Itis required to test H0 : θ = 12 against the alternative H1 : θ (0, 1). ... Show that theconstruction of a likelihood-ratio test leads us to the statistic.
  38. CAUSAL INFERENCE Part III / Michaelmas 2023Example Sheet 2 ...

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/teaching/causal-2023/E2.pdf
    3 Jun 2024: Read the abstract andthe section “Tests of Initial a Priori Model” (page 649–651) in the paper titled “Causal Ordering ofAcademic Self-Concept and Academic Achievement: A Multiwave, Longitudinal Panel Analysis”
  39. ex.dvi

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rrw1/stats/ex2nocom2.pdf
    22 Jan 2008: Find the best size α test of H0 : θ = 1 against H1 : θ = 1.21. ... Test the hypothesis of linearity. 8. (Lecture 9, Chi-squared tests of categorical data) A machine produces plasticarticles in bunches of three articles at a time.
  40. 1-dgk.dvi

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~grg/books/hammfest/1-dgk.pdf
    22 Mar 2024: Thiswas his skill in concocting the all but insoluble scholarship questions thatwere then in vogue (and which passed the test of acceptance only if theybaffled one’s fellow examiners).
  41. 40 Paper 1, Section I 7H Statistics(a) State and ...

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~lab85/resources/Stats2017.pdf
    28 Apr 2023: Find a most powerful test of size α of H0 : θ = 0 versus H1 : θ = 1. ... Find a uniformly most powerful test of size α of H0 : θ = 0 versus H1 : θ > 0.
  42. 41 A1/12 B1/15 Principles of Statistics (i) What are ...

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~lab85/resources/PoS2001.pdf
    28 Apr 2023: Part II. 43. A3/12 B3/15 Principles of Statistics. (i) Explain what is meant by a uniformly most powerful unbiased test of a nullhypothesis against an alternative. ... Let the distribution of Y1,. ,Yn be as in (i) above, and suppose we wish to test,as in
  43. ex.dvi

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rrw1/stats/ex3nocom2.pdf
    22 Jan 2008: machine a 5% level test is to be made of H0 : σ2new = σ. ... Test H0,saying how you determine the degrees of freedom used in your test.
  44. Practical: Matching/Weighting and Sensitivity Analysis

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/teaching/siscer-2023/P2.pdf
    3 Jun 2024: Remark: For example, we can apply the Wilcoxon signed rank test, as follows.
  45. Using sparsity to overcome unmeasured confounding:Two examples…

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/talk/mrc-bsu-2019/slides.pdf
    3 Jun 2024: Related problem: Gene colocalization test. Stylized statistical problem(γ̂. Γ̂. ) N. (( ... A standard test uses (Plagnol et al, 2009, Biostatistics). 2l(β̂) d χ2p1 under the above model.
  46. IB Statistics Michael TehranchiExample sheet 3 of 3 Lent ...

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~mike/stats/Example3.pdf
    27 Feb 2019: Findthe likelihood ratio test of size α.(b) The scientist repeats the test in part (a) for each characteristic j = 1,. ... nI, show from first principles that the size α likelihood. ratio test of equality of means rejects H0 if1I1.
  47. 76 Paper 1, Section II 28J Principles of StatisticsThe ...

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~lab85/resources/PoS2010.pdf
    28 Apr 2023: How might you apply theKolmogorov–Smirnov test to test the hypothesis H0?
  48. Mendelian Randomization: Old and New Insights Qingyuan Zhao…

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/talk/epfl-2021/slides.pdf
    3 Jun 2024: Randomization tests to find causal variants (Spielman, McGinnis, &Ewens, 1993; Bates et al., 2020). ... I Randomization test for the sharp null H0 : Y (1) Y (0) = β.I Key idea: Under H0, Y (0) = Y βX.
  49. STATISTICAL MODELLING Part IIC, Michaelmas 2021Practical 1:…

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/teaching/modelling-2022/P1.pdf
    3 Jun 2024: To make sure that neither of them is more lenient than the other,they want to test whether their average marks are equal.
  50. 77 Paper 1, Section II29J Principles of Statistics State ...

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~lab85/resources/PoS2020.pdf
    28 Apr 2023: Θ = R (0,). Derive the likelihood ratio test statistic Λn(Θ, Θ0) for the compositehypothesis.
  51. BETS: The dangers of selection bias in early analyses ...

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/talk/yale-biostats-2020/slides.pdf
    3 Jun 2024: The principle is to only include cases as Wuhan-exported that pass a “beyond areasonable doubt” test. ... Variations of Assumption 3 (exponential growth) and Assumption 5 (stabletravel) are implemented to test sensitivity.

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