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Causal Inference: An Introduction Qingyuan Zhao Statistical…
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/talk/ssrmp-2020/slides.pdf22 Jul 2024: Examples in social sciences. 1 Economics: How does supply and demand (causally) depend on price? ... Statistical inference: Approach 1. Randomisation inference (permutation test). Test the hypothesis H0 : A Y | X (or H0 : A Y if randomisation does -
Sensitivity analysis for observational studies: Past, Present, and…
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/talk/uea-2024/slides.pdf22 Jul 2024: Solid curves: contours of likelihood ratio test. Dashed curves:. estimated ATE reduced by half. ... Blattman, Christopher and Jeannie Annan (2010). “The Consequences of ChildSoldiering”. In: The Review of Economics and Statistics 92.4, pp. -
Causal Inference
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/teaching/causal-2023/slides.pdf22 Jul 2024: Randomization inference: General tests. Randomization provides the “reasoned basis” for Fisher’s exact test. ... Randomization inference: F-test. Setting: Neyman-Rubin model, A = {0,1,. ,k 1}. -
Curriculum Vitae
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/files/cv.pdf20 Mar 2024: arXiv: 2208.13871 [stat.ME]. 49. Y. Zhang and Q. Zhao, “Multiple conditional randomization tests,” 2021. ... 15. Journal of the Americal Statistical Association. 16. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics. -
Will competition-winning methods for causal inference also succeed in …
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/publication/acic-competition-comment/paper.pdf22 Jul 2024: REFERENCES. Angrist, J. D. and Krueger, A. B. (1999). Empirical strategies in labor economics. ... TheAmerican Economic Review Papers and Proceedings 93 126-132. Keele, L. and Small, D. -
Sensitivity analysis for observational studies: Looking back and…
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/talk/yale-biostats-2020-2/slides.pdf22 Jul 2024: The Reviewof Economics and Statistics, 92(4):882–898, 2010. doi:10.1162/REST a 00036. C. ... Biometrics, 69:803–811, 2013. G. W. Imbens. Sensitivity to exogeneity assumptions in program evaluation.American Economic Review, 93:126–132, 2003. -
ON BAYESIAN INFERENCE FOR SOME STATISTICAL INVERSEPROBLEMS WITH…
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~nickl/Site/__files/bnews.pdf6 Nov 2017: Identifying the functional param-eters f1,f2 from some observations in such a diffusionmodel is of fundamental importance in many appli-cations in modern science, e.g., in biology, physicsand economics. ... general, non-linear, inverse problems. In Ray -
Optimization and Control Richard Weber, Lent Term 2016 Contents ...
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rrw1/oc/oc2016.pdf8 Mar 2016: 22. 6.3 Optimal stopping over the infinite horizon. 23. 6.4 Example: sequential probability ratio test. ... 6516.2 Problems in which time appears explicitly. 6616.3 Example: monopolist. 6616.4 Example: neoclassical economic growth. -
Optimization and Control Richard Weber, Michaelmas Term 2014 Contents …
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rrw1/oc/oc2014.pdf29 Nov 2014: 22. 6.3 Optimal stopping over the infinite horizon. 23. 6.4 Example: sequential probability ratio test. ... 6416.2 Problems in which time appears explicitly. 6516.3 Example: monopolist. 6516.4 Example: neoclassical economic growth. -
Correlation scenarios and correlation stress testing
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~mike/QF2023/Packham.pdf14 Apr 2023: covariance matrix Σ.I For correlation stress test, need to consider portfolio variance. ... Natalie Packham. Professor of Mathematics and Statistics. Berlin School of Economics and Law. -
Probability Theory and Statistics in High and Infinite Dimensions ...
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~nickl/Site/__files/Abstracts.pdf19 Jun 2014: Gaussian Approximations and Bootstrap with p >> n. Victor Chernozhukov. Victor Chernozhukov, Department of Economics, MIT, 50 Memorial Drive, E52-361B,. ... Gábor Lugosi. Gábor Lugosi, Department of Economics, Pompeu Fabra University, Ramon Trias -
Probability About these notes. Many people have written excellent ...
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rrw1/prob/prob-weber.pdf16 Sep 2019: Screening test.Simpson’s paradox. 6.1 Conditional probability. Suppose B is an event with P(B) > 0. ... However, the test yields a false positive rate of1% of the healthy persons tested. -
John Michael Hammersley JOHN MICHAEL HAMMERSLEY21 March 1920 — ...
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~grg/papers/jmh_biom.pdf31 Aug 2007: He returned to Oxford in 1959 as Senior Research Officer at theInstitute of Economics and Statistics. ... be producedto order and if so how; can they be recognised and can we test that they are not im-posters? -
Confounder adjustment in large-scale linear structural models
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/publication/cate-mutual-fund/slides.pdf22 Jul 2024: I In R, run summary(lm(YX)).I Equivalent to a two-sample t-test with equal variance. ... Journal of Financial Economics, 33(1).7. Carhart, M. M. (1997). “On persistence in mutual fund performance.” Journal of Finance, 52(1). -
Origins of scaling and power law fluctuations in acompetitive ...
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~mike/QF2023/Tebaldi.pdf17 Apr 2023: 2 / 36. The challenge of Critical Phenomena in Economics. • Quantitative Finance community is setting new benchmarks and newchallenges to mainstream economic sciences! • ... Gabaix. 4 / 36. Normative vs Descriptive Models in Economics‘Economists -
Optimization and Control Contents Table of Contents i Schedules ...
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rrw1/oc/oc2013.pdf22 May 2013: 22. 6.3 Optimal stopping over the infinite horizon. 22. 6.4 Sequential Probability Ratio Test. ... 6615.4 Problems in which time appears explicitly. 6615.5 Example: monopolist. 6715.6 Example: neoclassical economic growth. -
CAUSAL INTERPRETATIONS OF BLACK-BOX MODELS QINGYUAN ZHAO AND TREVOR…
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/publication/pdp/paper.pdf22 Jul 2024: ICE is first introduced to discover. interaction between the predictor variables and visually test if the function g is additive. ... Journal of Economic Perspectives, 31(2):87–106, 2017. Judea Pearl. Comment: Graphical models, causality and -
Editorial: Special Issue on "Nonparametric Inference Under Shape …
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rjs57/STS673.pdf29 Nov 2018: Shape-constrained proce-dures are also commonly used in economics (Matzkin,1991, Varian, 1984) and survival analysis, for instancein the interval-censoring problem and hazard func-tion estimation; see the recent ... In the first part of the paper, applica -
Regression tree algorithms with applications to missing…
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/files/whittlelectures/Trees.pdf12 May 2022: The lectures will present a mix of theory, methodology, andapplications, including examples from economics, medicine, public health, and automo-tive engineering. ... Example with data from experiments on vehicle crash tests. Lecture 6 (May 25) Models for -
Two-Sample Instrumental Variable Analysis: Challenges and Some…
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/publication/two-sample-iv/slides.pdf22 Jul 2024: Future work: Goodness-of-fit test of the statistical model. Good statistical fit more confidence in the results? ... TheReview of Economics and Statistics, 92(3):557–561, 2010. M. Katan. Apoupoprotein e isoforms, serum cholesterol, and cancer. -
0. Statistics 1B Statistics 1B 1 (1–1) 0. Lecture ...
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/Dept/People/djsteaching/S1B-16-all-lectures-4.pdf11 Jan 2016: Examples are spam filters, text and speech recognition, machine learning,bioinformatics, health economics and (some) clinical trials. -
Mathematics of Operational Research Contents Table of Contents i ...
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rrw1/mor/morweber.pdf15 Mar 2016: Also, λ. (b) 0. In light of Theorem 2.5, Lagrange multipliers are also known as shadow prices, dueto an economic interpretation of the problem to. ... to φ(b)/bi. In this context, complementaryslackness corresponds to the basic economic principle that -
Volatility Is (Mostly) Path-Dependent Julien Guyon Ecole des Ponts ...
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~mike/QF2023/Guyon.pdf11 Apr 2023: Training set: 2000–18; test set: 2019–22. A very challenging test set! ... Due to the Covid-19 pandemic, the test setincludes very different volatility regimes. -
Lecture Notes on Causal Inference(with corrections) Qingyuan Zhao May …
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/teaching/causal-2023/notes-2021.pdf22 Jul 2024: The first approachtries to test the conditional independence A[n] Y[n](0) | X. ... A level-α randomisation test then rejects H0 if Pm α. 2.19 Theorem. -
• Ingenia 29
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~frank/PAPERS/ingenia.pdf29 Dec 2006: What are the challenges and, in particular, whattechnology, economic and networkmodelling issues need to be overcome tomake it happen? ... of existing policy instrumentshave become apparent, and the economic damage ofcongestion is rapidly increasing. -
Benchmarking stochastic optimization approaches for pension fund…
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~mike/QF2023/Consigli2.pdf14 Apr 2023: These preliminary results are in line with the in-sample tests and take fully into accountregulatory requirement and the complex PF liability structure. ... Computational tests. giorgio.consigli@ku.ac.ae. 38/39PFM methods’ benchmarking 14/04/2023 -
oheads.dvi
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rrw1/stats/oheads.pdf18 Jan 2007: Economics 240 63 26 512 112 22. Engineering 164 52 32 972 252 26. ... check that lifespan is normally distributed about a mean. The. longevities for control and test groups were. -
MAHD-CV-26.3.2018 (002)
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~mike/QF2023/MAHD-CV-26.3.2018.pdf4 Jul 2023: 1970-71 Visiting Senior Fellow, Manchester Business School. 1970 Visiting Professor of Mathematics and Economics, Institute for Quantitative Analysis of Social and Economic Policy, University of Toronto. ... 1978 D S Collat, Voting and the Formation of -
Maximum likelihood estimation of a multidimensional log-concave…
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rjs57/CSSFinalLV.pdf24 Mar 2010: Theclass of log-concave densities has many attractive properties and has been well-studied, particularlyin the economics, sampling and reliability theory literature. ... See Bagnoli and Bergstrom(2005) for many other applications of log-concavity to -
STATISTICAL MODELLING Part IICPractical 8: Contingency tables and…
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rds37/teaching/statistical_modelling/Practical8.pdf11 Mar 2015: mod2 <- glm(Freq subject_msubject_f match, data=SD_subj, family=poisson). > anova(mod1, mod2, test="LR"). ... Therefore we can calculate the approximate p-value for the test above with. > -
s.dvi
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rrw1/stats/Sa5.pdf4 Dec 2008: 29. 7.2 The power of a test. 29. 7.3 Uniformly most powerful tests. ... 33. 8.2 Generalised likelihood ratio tests. 33. 8.3 Single sample: testing a given mean, known variance (z-test). Results that match 1 of 2 words
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What is a randomization test? | Qingyuan Zhao
https://www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/publication/single-crt/22 Jul 2024: A new term—‘quasi-randomization test’—is introduced to define significance tests based on theoretical models and distinguish these tests from the ‘randomization tests’ based on the physical act of randomization. ... The proposed terminology -
Multiple conditional randomization tests | Qingyuan Zhao
https://www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/talk/ims-2022/22 Jul 2024: Search. Multiple conditional randomization tests. Date. 2022-06-27 5:10 PM — 5:30 PM. -
What is a randomization test? | Qingyuan Zhao
https://www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/talk/toronto-2022/22 Jul 2024: Search. What is a randomization test? Date. 2022-03-23 2:00 PM — 3:00 PM. -
Multiple conditional randomization tests | Qingyuan Zhao
https://www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/publication/multiple-crts/22 Jul 2024: April 2021Abstract. We propose a general framework for (multiple) conditional randomization tests that incorporate several important ideas in the recent literature. ... We show that under a change of perspective, many existing statistical methods, -
Economic Benefits
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~frank/PAPERS/deloitte.html15 May 2023: Measuring the Economic Benefits of Mathematical Sciences Research in the UK. ... Measuring the Economic Benefits of Mathematical Sciences Research in the UK,. -
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/talk/index.xml
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/talk/index.xml22 Jul 2024: talk/ccaim-summer-school-2022/ Multiple conditional randomization tests https://www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/qz280/talk/mcp-2022/ Wed, 31 Aug 2022 13:45:00 0000 ... ac.uk/qz280/talk/mcp-2022/ Multiple conditional randomization tests -
Talks
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rrw1/talks/index.html18 Feb 2015: Economics Issues in Shared Shared Infrastructures, talk at talk to Cambridge Finance - Wharton workshop, 25 June, 2009. -
Genetics | Qingyuan Zhao
https://www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/tag/genetics/22 Jul 2024: invariance. This paper uses a generalized Stolarsky's invariance principle to approximate the permutation $p$-value for two-sample linear test statistics. -
Optimization
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rrw1/opt/index.html17 Oct 2014: Read more about the amusingincluding an overview of optimization, case studies, test problems, and much, much more. -
Permutation $p$-value approximation via generalized Stolarsky…
https://www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/publication/stolarsky/22 Jul 2024: March 2016Abstract. This paper uses a generalized Stolarsky’s invariance principle to approximate the permutation $p$-value for two-sample linear test statistics. -
Dylan Small | Qingyuan Zhao
https://www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/author/dylan-small/22 Jul 2024: Search. Dylan Small. Latest. 2024. Powered by the Academic theme forCite. -
The randomization principle in causal inference: A modern look at…
https://www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/talk/imperial-2022/22 Jul 2024: In the first part, I will use the potential outcomes framework to define the conditional randomization test, distinguish it with related ideas, and discuss some recent applications. -
Paul Rosenbaum | Qingyuan Zhao
https://www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/author/paul-rosenbaum/22 Jul 2024: Cross-screening in observational studies that test many hypotheses. -
Causal-Inference | Qingyuan Zhao
https://www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/tag/causal-inference/22 Jul 2024: We apply ideas from post-selection inference to randomization tests for adaptive experiments. -
Multiple conditional randomization tests | Qingyuan Zhao
https://www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/talk/mcp-2022/22 Jul 2024: Search. Multiple conditional randomization tests. Date. 2022-08-31 1:45 PM — 2:15 PM. -
A constructive approach to selective risk control | Qingyuan Zhao
https://www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/publication/selective-risk/22 Jul 2024: the null but also at other locations for free; (2) in the context of permutation tests, the BH procedure with exact permutation p-values can be well approximated by a procedure -
Luke Keele | Qingyuan Zhao
https://www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/author/luke-keele/22 Jul 2024: Search. Luke Keele. Latest. 2024. Powered by the Academic theme forCite. -
Rachel Kelz | Qingyuan Zhao
https://www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/author/rachel-kelz/22 Jul 2024: Falsification tests for instrumental variable designs with an application to tendency to operate. -
Sensitivity Analysis | Qingyuan Zhao
https://www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/tag/sensitivity-analysis/22 Jul 2024: It only tests the sharp null hypothesis; 3. It assumes treatment effect homogeneity to obtain a confidence interval of …. 2024. Powered by the Academic theme forCite.
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