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Editorial: Special Issue on "Nonparametric Inference Under Shape …
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rjs57/STS673.pdf29 Nov 2018: Shape-constrained proce-dures are also commonly used in economics (Matzkin,1991, Varian, 1984) and survival analysis, for instancein the interval-censoring problem and hazard func-tion estimation; see the recent ... In the first part of the paper, applica -
CAUSAL INTERPRETATIONS OF BLACK-BOX MODELS QINGYUAN ZHAO AND TREVOR…
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/publication/pdp/paper.pdf22 Jul 2024: ICE is first introduced to discover. interaction between the predictor variables and visually test if the function g is additive. ... Journal of Economic Perspectives, 31(2):87–106, 2017. Judea Pearl. Comment: Graphical models, causality and -
John Aston's Home Page - Publications
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~jada2/pubs.html10 Jun 2021: 2018. JAD Aston and C Kirch. Efficiency of change points tests in high dimensional settings, Electronic Journal of Statistics, 12: 1901-1947. ... I Hindrayanto, JAD Aston, SJ Koopman, M Ooms. Modeling trigonometric seasonal components for monthly -
Regression tree algorithms with applications to missing…
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/files/whittlelectures/Trees.pdf12 May 2022: The lectures will present a mix of theory, methodology, andapplications, including examples from economics, medicine, public health, and automo-tive engineering. ... Example with data from experiments on vehicle crash tests. Lecture 6 (May 25) Models for -
Two-Sample Instrumental Variable Analysis: Challenges and Some…
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/publication/two-sample-iv/slides.pdf22 Jul 2024: Future work: Goodness-of-fit test of the statistical model. Good statistical fit more confidence in the results? ... TheReview of Economics and Statistics, 92(3):557–561, 2010. M. Katan. Apoupoprotein e isoforms, serum cholesterol, and cancer. -
Pathwise Methods and Robust GANs for Pricing and Hedging -…
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~mike/QF2023/Horvath.pdf17 Apr 2023: Image: Andrew Alden. The Signature MMD Two-Sample Test (Base Case,truncated signatures). ... Statistical power of test“Signature-based validation of real-world economic scenarios” [A.B.J. ′23] numerical analysis with synthetic data in order to -
Volatility Is (Mostly) Path-Dependent Julien Guyon Ecole des Ponts ...
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~mike/QF2023/Guyon.pdf11 Apr 2023: Training set: 2000–18; test set: 2019–22. A very challenging test set! ... Due to the Covid-19 pandemic, the test setincludes very different volatility regimes. -
Lecture Notes on Causal Inference(with corrections) Qingyuan Zhao May …
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/teaching/causal-2023/notes-2021.pdf22 Jul 2024: The first approachtries to test the conditional independence A[n] Y[n](0) | X. ... A level-α randomisation test then rejects H0 if Pm α. 2.19 Theorem. -
• Ingenia 29
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~frank/PAPERS/ingenia.pdf29 Dec 2006: What are the challenges and, in particular, whattechnology, economic and networkmodelling issues need to be overcome tomake it happen? ... of existing policy instrumentshave become apparent, and the economic damage ofcongestion is rapidly increasing. -
Benchmarking stochastic optimization approaches for pension fund…
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~mike/QF2023/Consigli2.pdf14 Apr 2023: These preliminary results are in line with the in-sample tests and take fully into accountregulatory requirement and the complex PF liability structure. ... Computational tests. giorgio.consigli@ku.ac.ae. 38/39PFM methods’ benchmarking 14/04/2023 -
oheads.dvi
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rrw1/stats/oheads.pdf18 Jan 2007: Economics 240 63 26 512 112 22. Engineering 164 52 32 972 252 26. ... check that lifespan is normally distributed about a mean. The. longevities for control and test groups were. -
MAHD-CV-26.3.2018 (002)
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~mike/QF2023/MAHD-CV-26.3.2018.pdf4 Jul 2023: 1970-71 Visiting Senior Fellow, Manchester Business School. 1970 Visiting Professor of Mathematics and Economics, Institute for Quantitative Analysis of Social and Economic Policy, University of Toronto. ... 1978 D S Collat, Voting and the Formation of -
Maximum likelihood estimation of a multidimensional log-concave…
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rjs57/CSSFinalLV.pdf24 Mar 2010: Theclass of log-concave densities has many attractive properties and has been well-studied, particularlyin the economics, sampling and reliability theory literature. ... See Bagnoli and Bergstrom(2005) for many other applications of log-concavity to -
STATISTICAL MODELLING Part IICPractical 8: Contingency tables and…
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rds37/teaching/statistical_modelling/Practical8.pdf11 Mar 2015: mod2 <- glm(Freq subject_msubject_f match, data=SD_subj, family=poisson). > anova(mod1, mod2, test="LR"). ... Therefore we can calculate the approximate p-value for the test above with. > -
Optimization and Control
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rrw1/oc/index2013.html15 Sep 2014: 6.4 Sequential Probability Ratio Test. 6.5 Bandit processes. 7 Bandit Processes and the Gittins Index. ... 15.7 Neoclassical economic growth. 16 Controlled Diffusion Processes. 16.1 The dynamic programming equation. -
9. Lecture 10. Tests of homogeneity, and connections toconfidence ...
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/Dept/People/djsteaching/S1B-17-10-homogeneity-CIs.pdf20 Feb 2017: Tests of homogeneity, and connections to confidence intervals 10.1. Tests of homogeneity. ... Lecture 10. Tests of homogeneity, and connections to confidence intervals 2 (1–56). -
s.dvi
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rrw1/stats/Sa5.pdf4 Dec 2008: 29. 7.2 The power of a test. 29. 7.3 Uniformly most powerful tests. ... 33. 8.2 Generalised likelihood ratio tests. 33. 8.3 Single sample: testing a given mean, known variance (z-test). -
Markov Chains Course Blog
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rrw1/markov/blog.html4 Sep 2012: statistics, economics and finance, social sciences, mathematical biology, games, music, baseball and text generation. ... can test your intuition and make good guesses about what might or might not be true. -
s.dvi
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rrw1/stats/Sa4.pdf4 Dec 2008: 29. 7.2 The power of a test. 29. 7.3 Uniformly most powerful tests. ... 33. 8.2 Generalised likelihood ratio tests. 33. 8.3 Single sample: testing a given mean, known variance (z-test). -
t.dvi
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rrw1/timeseries/t.pdf21 Sep 2005: 3. 1.6 White noise. 4. 1.7 The turning point test. 4. ... 27. 7.5 Tests for white noise. 277.6 Forecasting with ARMA models. -
A More General Pandora’s Rule Richard Weber, University of ...
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rrw1/talks/LSEseminar13113.pdf14 Nov 2013: 5/57 ,. Varian’s problem: ‘economics and search’. Hal Varian (1999) put Weitzman’s problem like this:. ... If time for two books, show Lonely Planet. 6/57 ,. Varian’s problem: ‘economics and search’. -
ks_nov99.dvi
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~frank/AUCTION/auction.pdf4 Nov 1999: resources: an experimental approach. Rand Journal of Economics 20 1–25. Bernheim, B.D., M. ... Bell Journal of Economics 13 402–417. Rothkopf, M.H., A. Pekeč, R.M. -
ON BAYESIAN INFERENCE FOR SOME STATISTICAL INVERSEPROBLEMS WITH…
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~nickl/Site/__files/bnews.pdf6 Nov 2017: Identifying the functional param-eters f1,f2 from some observations in such a diffusionmodel is of fundamental importance in many appli-cations in modern science, e.g., in biology, physicsand economics. ... general, non-linear, inverse problems. In Ray -
Optimization and Control Richard Weber, Lent Term 2016 Contents ...
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rrw1/oc/oc2016.pdf8 Mar 2016: 22. 6.3 Optimal stopping over the infinite horizon. 23. 6.4 Example: sequential probability ratio test. ... 6516.2 Problems in which time appears explicitly. 6616.3 Example: monopolist. 6616.4 Example: neoclassical economic growth. -
Optimization and Control Richard Weber, Michaelmas Term 2014 Contents …
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rrw1/oc/oc2014.pdf29 Nov 2014: 22. 6.3 Optimal stopping over the infinite horizon. 23. 6.4 Example: sequential probability ratio test. ... 6416.2 Problems in which time appears explicitly. 6516.3 Example: monopolist. 6516.4 Example: neoclassical economic growth. -
Probability Theory and Statistics in High and Infinite Dimensions ...
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~nickl/Site/__files/Abstracts.pdf19 Jun 2014: Gaussian Approximations and Bootstrap with p >> n. Victor Chernozhukov. Victor Chernozhukov, Department of Economics, MIT, 50 Memorial Drive, E52-361B,. ... Gábor Lugosi. Gábor Lugosi, Department of Economics, Pompeu Fabra University, Ramon Trias -
Probability About these notes. Many people have written excellent ...
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rrw1/prob/prob-weber.pdf16 Sep 2019: Screening test.Simpson’s paradox. 6.1 Conditional probability. Suppose B is an event with P(B) > 0. ... However, the test yields a false positive rate of1% of the healthy persons tested. -
John Michael Hammersley JOHN MICHAEL HAMMERSLEY21 March 1920 — ...
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~grg/papers/jmh_biom.pdf31 Aug 2007: He returned to Oxford in 1959 as Senior Research Officer at theInstitute of Economics and Statistics. ... be producedto order and if so how; can they be recognised and can we test that they are not im-posters? -
Optimization and Control Contents Table of Contents i Schedules ...
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rrw1/oc/oc2013.pdf22 May 2013: 22. 6.3 Optimal stopping over the infinite horizon. 22. 6.4 Sequential Probability Ratio Test. ... 6615.4 Problems in which time appears explicitly. 6615.5 Example: monopolist. 6715.6 Example: neoclassical economic growth. -
0. Statistics 1B Statistics 1B 1 (1–1) 0. Lecture ...
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/Dept/People/djsteaching/S1B-16-all-lectures-4.pdf11 Jan 2016: Examples are spam filters, text and speech recognition, machine learning,bioinformatics, health economics and (some) clinical trials. -
Mathematics of Operational Research Contents Table of Contents i ...
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rrw1/mor/morweber.pdf15 Mar 2016: Also, λ. (b) 0. In light of Theorem 2.5, Lagrange multipliers are also known as shadow prices, dueto an economic interpretation of the problem to. ... to φ(b)/bi. In this context, complementaryslackness corresponds to the basic economic principle that Results that match 1 of 2 words
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What is a randomization test? | Qingyuan Zhao
https://www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/publication/single-crt/22 Jul 2024: A new term—‘quasi-randomization test’—is introduced to define significance tests based on theoretical models and distinguish these tests from the ‘randomization tests’ based on the physical act of randomization. ... The proposed terminology -
Multiple conditional randomization tests | Qingyuan Zhao
https://www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/talk/mcp-2022/22 Jul 2024: Search. Multiple conditional randomization tests. Date. 2022-08-31 1:45 PM — 2:15 PM. -
Falsification tests for instrumental variable designs with an…
https://www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/publication/iv-falsification/22 Jul 2024: Search. Falsification tests for instrumental variable designs with an application to tendency to operate. ... We demonstrate this test using an IV known as tendency to operate (TTO) from health services research. -
Economic Benefits
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~frank/PAPERS/deloitte.html15 May 2023: Measuring the Economic Benefits of Mathematical Sciences Research in the UK. ... Measuring the Economic Benefits of Mathematical Sciences Research in the UK,. -
Multiple conditional randomization tests | Qingyuan Zhao
https://www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/talk/ims-2022/22 Jul 2024: Search. Multiple conditional randomization tests. Date. 2022-06-27 5:10 PM — 5:30 PM. -
What is a randomization test? | Qingyuan Zhao
https://www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/talk/toronto-2022/22 Jul 2024: Search. What is a randomization test? Date. 2022-03-23 2:00 PM — 3:00 PM. -
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/tag/fisher/index.xml
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/tag/fisher/index.xml22 Jul 2024: or I would call them “tests of unusualness” or “tests of aberrance” or “test of fishiness”) as tests where the treatment (or any variable, for ... randomization tests creates a “control group of numbers” to -
Talks
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rrw1/talks/index.html18 Feb 2015: Economics Issues in Shared Shared Infrastructures, talk at talk to Cambridge Finance - Wharton workshop, 25 June, 2009. -
Optimization
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rrw1/opt/index.html17 Oct 2014: Read more about the amusingincluding an overview of optimization, case studies, test problems, and much, much more. -
Discussion on (quasi-)randomization inference | Qingyuan Zhao
https://www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/post/randomization-hyunseung/22 Jul 2024: I personally think the Freedman and Lane’s example with “randomizing” gender makes the distinction between the classic randomization test and your quasi-randomization tests more clear than the example you ... Personally, I would define -
IV & MR (project page) | Qingyuan Zhao
https://www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/project/iv-mr/22 Jul 2024: July 2019 eLifeWe propose a falsification test for the IV assumptions using sub-populations of the data with overwhelming proportion of treated or …. Luke Keele, Qingyuan Zhao, Rachel Kelz, Dylan Small. -
A constructive approach to selective risk control | Qingyuan Zhao
https://www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/publication/selective-risk/22 Jul 2024: the null but also at other locations for free; (2) in the context of permutation tests, the BH procedure with exact permutation p-values can be well approximated by a procedure -
History of the Statistical Laboratory | Statistical Laboratory
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/history-statistical-laboratory27 Jul 2024: Search site. Statistical Laboratory. History of the Statistical Laboratory. A Realised Path. The Cambridge Statistical Laboratory upto 1993 (revised 2002). Contents. 1. 1947-55 Creation and confirmation. 1955-61 Disaster and diaspora. 1961-66 The -
Selective Inference | Qingyuan Zhao
https://www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/tag/selective-inference/22 Jul 2024: We apply ideas from post-selection inference to randomization tests for adaptive experiments. -
Luke Keele | Qingyuan Zhao
https://www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/author/luke-keele/22 Jul 2024: Search. Luke Keele. Latest. 2024. Powered by the Academic theme forCite. -
The origin of randomization | Qingyuan Zhao
https://www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/post/randomization-origin/22 Jul 2024: to provide a basis for exact tests of significance and related interval estimates. {{% ... be applied to test the significance of the observed difference between the averages of plots treated differently. -
Permutation $p$-value approximation via generalized Stolarsky…
https://www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/publication/stolarsky/22 Jul 2024: March 2016Abstract. This paper uses a generalized Stolarsky’s invariance principle to approximate the permutation $p$-value for two-sample linear test statistics. -
On testing mean proportionality of multivariate normal variables |…
https://www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/publication/proportionality-testing/22 Jul 2024: We show that the usual likelihood ratio χ2-test is valid non-asymptotically. ... Our proof relies on expressing the test statistic as the minimum eigenvalue of a Wishart variable and using a representation of its distribution using Legendre polynomials. -
The randomization principle in causal inference: A modern look at…
https://www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/talk/imperial-2022/22 Jul 2024: In the first part, I will use the potential outcomes framework to define the conditional randomization test, distinguish it with related ideas, and discuss some recent applications.
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