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  2. Causal Inference: An Introduction Qingyuan Zhao Statistical…

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/talk/ssrmp-2020/slides.pdf
    22 Jul 2024: Examples in social sciences. 1 Economics: How does supply and demand (causally) depend on price? ... Statistical inference: Approach 1. Randomisation inference (permutation test). Test the hypothesis H0 : A Y | X (or H0 : A Y if randomisation does
  3. Publications | Statistical Laboratory

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/publications?page=22
    27 Jul 2024: 2019). 47,. 583. (doi: 10.1214/18-AOS1702). Falsification Tests for Instrumental Variable Designs With an Application to Tendency to Operate. ... LCG Rogers. – Decisions in Economics and Finance. (2018). 41,. 447.
  4. Sensitivity analysis for observational studies: Past, Present, and…

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/talk/uea-2024/slides.pdf
    22 Jul 2024: Solid curves: contours of likelihood ratio test. Dashed curves:. estimated ATE reduced by half. ... Blattman, Christopher and Jeannie Annan (2010). “The Consequences of ChildSoldiering”. In: The Review of Economics and Statistics 92.4, pp.
  5. Causal Inference

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/teaching/causal-2023/slides.pdf
    22 Jul 2024: Randomization inference: General tests. Randomization provides the “reasoned basis” for Fisher’s exact test. ... Randomization inference: F-test. Setting: Neyman-Rubin model, A = {0,1,. ,k 1}.
  6. Curriculum Vitae

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/files/cv.pdf
    20 Mar 2024: arXiv: 2208.13871 [stat.ME]. 49. Y. Zhang and Q. Zhao, “Multiple conditional randomization tests,” 2021. ... 15. Journal of the Americal Statistical Association. 16. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics.
  7. Will competition-winning methods for causal inference also succeed in …

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/publication/acic-competition-comment/paper.pdf
    22 Jul 2024: REFERENCES. Angrist, J. D. and Krueger, A. B. (1999). Empirical strategies in labor economics. ... TheAmerican Economic Review Papers and Proceedings 93 126-132. Keele, L. and Small, D.
  8. Sensitivity analysis for observational studies: Looking back and…

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/talk/yale-biostats-2020-2/slides.pdf
    22 Jul 2024: The Reviewof Economics and Statistics, 92(4):882–898, 2010. doi:10.1162/REST a 00036. C. ... Biometrics, 69:803–811, 2013. G. W. Imbens. Sensitivity to exogeneity assumptions in program evaluation.American Economic Review, 93:126–132, 2003.
  9. Correlation scenarios and correlation stress testing

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~mike/QF2023/Packham.pdf
    14 Apr 2023: covariance matrix Σ.I For correlation stress test, need to consider portfolio variance. ... Natalie Packham. Professor of Mathematics and Statistics. Berlin School of Economics and Law.
  10. Confounder adjustment in large-scale linear structural models

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/publication/cate-mutual-fund/slides.pdf
    22 Jul 2024: I In R, run summary(lm(YX)).I Equivalent to a two-sample t-test with equal variance. ... Journal of Financial Economics, 33(1).7. Carhart, M. M. (1997). “On persistence in mutual fund performance.” Journal of Finance, 52(1).
  11. Origins of scaling and power law fluctuations in acompetitive ...

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~mike/QF2023/Tebaldi.pdf
    17 Apr 2023: 2 / 36. The challenge of Critical Phenomena in Economics. • Quantitative Finance community is setting new benchmarks and newchallenges to mainstream economic sciences! • ... Gabaix. 4 / 36. Normative vs Descriptive Models in Economics‘Economists
  12. 29 Nov 2018: Shape-constrained proce-dures are also commonly used in economics (Matzkin,1991, Varian, 1984) and survival analysis, for instancein the interval-censoring problem and hazard func-tion estimation; see the recent ... In the first part of the paper, applica
  13. CAUSAL INTERPRETATIONS OF BLACK-BOX MODELS QINGYUAN ZHAO AND TREVOR…

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/publication/pdp/paper.pdf
    22 Jul 2024: ICE is first introduced to discover. interaction between the predictor variables and visually test if the function g is additive. ... Journal of Economic Perspectives, 31(2):87–106, 2017. Judea Pearl. Comment: Graphical models, causality and
  14. John Aston's Home Page - Publications

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~jada2/pubs.html
    10 Jun 2021: 2018. JAD Aston and C Kirch. Efficiency of change points tests in high dimensional settings, Electronic Journal of Statistics, 12: 1901-1947. ... I Hindrayanto, JAD Aston, SJ Koopman, M Ooms. Modeling trigonometric seasonal components for monthly
  15. Regression tree algorithms with applications to missing…

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/files/whittlelectures/Trees.pdf
    12 May 2022: The lectures will present a mix of theory, methodology, andapplications, including examples from economics, medicine, public health, and automo-tive engineering. ... Example with data from experiments on vehicle crash tests. Lecture 6 (May 25) Models for
  16. Two-Sample Instrumental Variable Analysis: Challenges and Some…

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/publication/two-sample-iv/slides.pdf
    22 Jul 2024: Future work: Goodness-of-fit test of the statistical model. Good statistical fit more confidence in the results? ... TheReview of Economics and Statistics, 92(3):557–561, 2010. M. Katan. Apoupoprotein e isoforms, serum cholesterol, and cancer.
  17. Pathwise Methods and Robust GANs for Pricing and Hedging -…

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~mike/QF2023/Horvath.pdf
    17 Apr 2023: Image: Andrew Alden. The Signature MMD Two-Sample Test (Base Case,truncated signatures). ... Statistical power of test“Signature-based validation of real-world economic scenarios” [A.B.J. ′23] numerical analysis with synthetic data in order to
  18. 11 Apr 2023: Training set: 2000–18; test set: 2019–22. A very challenging test set! ... Due to the Covid-19 pandemic, the test setincludes very different volatility regimes.
  19. Lecture Notes on Causal Inference(with corrections) Qingyuan Zhao May …

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/teaching/causal-2023/notes-2021.pdf
    22 Jul 2024: The first approachtries to test the conditional independence A[n] Y[n](0) | X. ... A level-α randomisation test then rejects H0 if Pm α. 2.19 Theorem.
  20. • Ingenia 29

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~frank/PAPERS/ingenia.pdf
    29 Dec 2006: What are the challenges and, in particular, whattechnology, economic and networkmodelling issues need to be overcome tomake it happen? ... of existing policy instrumentshave become apparent, and the economic damage ofcongestion is rapidly increasing.
  21. Benchmarking stochastic optimization approaches for pension fund…

    www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~mike/QF2023/Consigli2.pdf
    14 Apr 2023: These preliminary results are in line with the in-sample tests and take fully into accountregulatory requirement and the complex PF liability structure. ... Computational tests. giorgio.consigli@ku.ac.ae. 38/39PFM methods’ benchmarking 14/04/2023

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