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CAUSAL INTERPRETATIONS OF BLACK-BOX MODELS QINGYUAN ZHAO AND TREVOR…
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/publication/pdp/paper.pdf3 Jun 2024: The thick curve (with yel-. low shading) in the middle is the average. ... low shading) in the middle is the average. of all the individual curves, i.e. -
Maximum likelihood estimation of a multidimensional log-concave…
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rjs57/CSSFinalLV.pdf24 Mar 2010: Theclass of log-concave densities has many attractive properties and has been well-studied, particularlyin the economics, sampling and reliability theory literature. ... See Bagnoli and Bergstrom(2005) for many other applications of log-concavity to -
t.dvi
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rrw1/timeseries/t.pdf21 Sep 2005: 3. 1.6 White noise. 4. 1.7 The turning point test. 4. ... 27. 7.5 Tests for white noise. 277.6 Forecasting with ARMA models. -
Mathematics of Operational Research Contents Table of Contents i ...
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rrw1/mor/morweber.pdf15 Mar 2016: Also, λ. (b) 0. In light of Theorem 2.5, Lagrange multipliers are also known as shadow prices, dueto an economic interpretation of the problem to. ... to φ(b)/bi. In this context, complementaryslackness corresponds to the basic economic principle that Results that match 2 of 3 words
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Professor Ioannis Kontoyiannis | Statistical Laboratory
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/person/ik3557 Jul 2024: Between 2005 and 2021 he was with the Department of Informatics of the Athens University of Economics and Business. ... I Papageorgiou, I Kontoyiannis. (2023). (doi: 10.48550/arxiv.2308.00913). Temporally Causal Discovery Tests for Discrete Time Series -
Publications | Statistical Laboratory
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/publications?page=467 Jul 2024: 2383. (doi: 10.1214/11-AOS903). Probabilistic sensitivity analysis in health economics. G Baio, AP Dawid. – ... doi: 10.1126/science.1191181). Adaptive Confidence Intervals for the Test Error in Classification Comment. -
Talks | Qingyuan Zhao
https://www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/talk/3 Jun 2024: 2024-02-08 2:00 PM — 3:00 PM London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE). -
Optimization and Control
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rrw1/oc/index.html14 Jan 2016: 6.4 Example: sequential probability ratio test. 6.5 Example: prospecting. 7 Bandit Processes and the Gittins Index. ... 16.3 Example: monopolist. 16.4 Example: neoclassical economic growth. 16.5 Diffusion processes. -
Publications | Qingyuan Zhao
https://www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/publication/3 Jun 2024: Falsification tests for instrumental variable designs with an application to tendency to operate. ... Journal of Business & Economic Statistics (2019). Charles Zheng, Trevor Hastie, Robert Tibshirani (2016). -
Publications | Statistical Laboratory
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/publications?page=257 Jul 2024: 2018). 31,. 547. (doi: 10.1002/bdm.2073). Inference on covariance operators via concentration inequalities: K-sample tests, classification, and clustering via rademacher complexities. ... ARTN 66. (doi: 10.1214/18-ejp161). Combining different models. LCG -
John Aston's Home Page - Publications
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~jada2/pubs.html10 Jun 2021: 2018. JAD Aston and C Kirch. Efficiency of change points tests in high dimensional settings, Electronic Journal of Statistics, 12: 1901-1947. ... I Hindrayanto, JAD Aston, SJ Koopman, M Ooms. Modeling trigonometric seasonal components for monthly -
Optimization and Control
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rrw1/oc/index2014.html9 Oct 2014: 6.3 Optimal stopping over the infinite horizon. 6.4 Sequential Probability Ratio Test. ... 15.8 Neoclassical economic growth. 16 Controlled Diffusion Processes. 16.1 The dynamic programming equation. -
9. Lecture 10. Tests of homogeneity, and connections toconfidence ...
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~sb2116/Statistics_IB/slides/S1B-17-10-homogeneity-CIs.pdf4 Feb 2020: Tests of homogeneity, and connections to confidence intervals 10.1. Tests of homogeneity. ... Lecture 10. Tests of homogeneity, and connections to confidence intervals 2 (1–56). -
STATISTICAL MODELLING Part IICPractical 8: Contingency tables and…
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rds37/teaching/statistical_modelling/Practical8.pdf11 Mar 2015: mod2 <- glm(Freq subject_msubject_f match, data=SD_subj, family=poisson). > anova(mod1, mod2, test="LR"). ... Therefore we can calculate the approximate p-value for the test above with. > -
Optimization and Control
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rrw1/oc/index2013.html15 Sep 2014: 6.4 Sequential Probability Ratio Test. 6.5 Bandit processes. 7 Bandit Processes and the Gittins Index. ... 15.7 Neoclassical economic growth. 16 Controlled Diffusion Processes. 16.1 The dynamic programming equation. -
Publications | Statistical Laboratory
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/publications?cid=2092072041&clv=1&kw=%E9%80%8F%E6%B0%A3%E9%9E%8B&p=%E9%80%8F%E6%B0%A3%E9%9E%8B&page=537 Jul 2024: Evaluating medical expert systems: what to test and how? J Wyatt, D Spiegelhalter. – ... LCG Rogers. – Mathematics and Financial Economics. (2009). 2,. 151. (doi: 10.1007/s11579-009-0018-x). -
Curriculum Vitae
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/files/cv.pdf20 Mar 2024: arXiv: 2208.13871 [stat.ME]. 49. Y. Zhang and Q. Zhao, “Multiple conditional randomization tests,” 2021. ... 15. Journal of the Americal Statistical Association. 16. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics. -
Draft Memorial Tribute for the National Academy of Engineering ...
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~frank/PW/whittle_nae.pdf18 Aug 2021: later awarded the Nobel Prize in Economics for empirical research on cause and effect in the. ... woodwind instruments, especially the oboe. In his middle years he learned the flamenco. -
Peter Whittle, 1927-2021 (Peter Whittle in 1985, by Peter ...
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~frank/PW/whittle_rss.pdf6 Sep 2021: later awarded the Nobel Prize in Economics for empirical research on cause and effect in the. ... attracted to woodwind instruments, especially the oboe. In his middle years he learned the. -
s.dvi
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rrw1/stats/Sa4.pdf4 Dec 2008: 29. 7.2 The power of a test. 29. 7.3 Uniformly most powerful tests. ... 33. 8.2 Generalised likelihood ratio tests. 33. 8.3 Single sample: testing a given mean, known variance (z-test). -
AccFinalPaper.dvi
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rjs57/AccFinalPaper.pdf3 Feb 2006: terms on the right-hand side of (4.5) below. ANOVA tests were used as a basis for. ... 1991. A test of the auricular surface ageing technique. J. Forensic Sciences 36; 1162–1169. -
createdbydvipdf
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rrw1/research/K3%20revised.pdf17 Oct 2011: Thus the proof iscomplete if we can show that just the middle third of Ukx. ... The four possibly negative components of the middle third are shown above in bold and are. -
PG5.dvi
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rrw1/research/PG-Courcoubetis-Weber.pdf28 Jun 2006: Department of Computer Science, Athens University of Economics and Business, Patision 76, Athens10434, GR. ... References. [1] P. Antoniadis, C. Courcoubetis, and R. Mason. Comparing economic incentives in peer-to-peer networks. -
Probability Theory and Statistics in High and Infinite Dimensions ...
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~nickl/Site/__files/Abstracts.pdf19 Jun 2014: Gaussian Approximations and Bootstrap with p >> n. Victor Chernozhukov. Victor Chernozhukov, Department of Economics, MIT, 50 Memorial Drive, E52-361B,. ... Gábor Lugosi. Gábor Lugosi, Department of Economics, Pompeu Fabra University, Ramon Trias -
Lecture Notes on Causal Inference(with corrections) Qingyuan Zhao May …
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/teaching/causal-2023/notes-2021.pdf3 Jun 2024: The first approachtries to test the conditional independence A[n] Y[n](0) | X. ... A level-α randomisation test then rejects H0 if Pm α. 2.19 Theorem. -
A Note on Waiting Times in Single Server Queues
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rrw1/publications/Weber%201983%20A%20note%20on%20waiting%20times%20in%20single%20server%20queues.pdf15 Sep 2011: These estimates each lie in the middle of a 99% confidence interval of length 0.0008. ... 891-914]. Sensitivity Theory and Its Application to a Large Energy-Economics Model [pp. -
The Composition of the European Parliament
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~grg/papers/Composition2017-published.pdf25 Jun 2017: the indirect decision powers of the Union citizens. Citizens from middle-sized Member. ... The Cam-. bridge Compromise would transfer some of the representative weight from middle-sized. -
ON BAYESIAN INFERENCE FOR SOME STATISTICAL INVERSEPROBLEMS WITH…
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~nickl/Site/__files/bnews.pdf6 Nov 2017: Identifying the functional param-eters f1,f2 from some observations in such a diffusionmodel is of fundamental importance in many appli-cations in modern science, e.g., in biology, physicsand economics. ... general, non-linear, inverse problems. In Ray -
9. Lecture 10. Tests of homogeneity, and connections toconfidence ...
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/Dept/People/djsteaching/S1B-17-10-homogeneity-CIs-4.pdf20 Feb 2017: Tests of homogeneity, and connections to confidence intervals 10.1. Tests of homogeneity. ... Lecture 10. Tests of homogeneity, and connections to confidence intervals 2 (1–9). -
Causal Inference
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/teaching/causal-2023/slides.pdf3 Jun 2024: Randomization inference: General tests. Randomization provides the “reasoned basis” for Fisher’s exact test. ... Randomization inference: F-test. Setting: Neyman-Rubin model, A = {0,1,. ,k 1}. -
Practical: Matching/Weighting and Sensitivity Analysis
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/teaching/siscer-2023/P2.pdf3 Jun 2024: 1994), “Health behaviors and survival among middle aged and older menand women in the NHANES I Epidemiologic Follow-Up Study.”. ... Remark: For example, we can apply the Wilcoxon signed rank test, as follows. -
John Michael Hammersley JOHN MICHAEL HAMMERSLEY21 March 1920 — ...
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~grg/papers/jmh_biom.pdf31 Aug 2007: He returned to Oxford in 1959 as Senior Research Officer at theInstitute of Economics and Statistics. ... be producedto order and if so how; can they be recognised and can we test that they are not im-posters? -
0. Statistics 1B Statistics 1B 1 (1–1) 0. Lecture ...
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/Dept/People/djsteaching/S1B-16-all-lectures-4.pdf11 Jan 2016: Examples are spam filters, text and speech recognition, machine learning,bioinformatics, health economics and (some) clinical trials. -
oheads.dvi
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rrw1/stats/oheads.pdf18 Jan 2007: Economics 240 63 26 512 112 22. Engineering 164 52 32 972 252 26. ... check that lifespan is normally distributed about a mean. The. longevities for control and test groups were. -
A Conversation with Jon Wellner
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rjs57/euclid.ss.1543482062.pdf29 Nov 2018: the 2008 Annals paper Jager and Wellner (2007)with Leah Jager on goodness of fit tests based onRényi divergences. ... figuring out newnonparametric confidence bands for distributionfunctions related to an intriguing test statistic dueto Berk and Jones. -
Harry Kesten (1931–2019) A personal and scientific tribute Geoffrey…
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~grg/papers/kesten-ams3-small.pdf20 Mar 2020: Middle years. Mark Kac visited Holland in 1955, and Harry had theopportunity to meet him at the Mathematical Centre.He wrote to Kac in January 1956 to enquire of agraduate fellowship ... Exciting and beau-tiful problems were formulated and solved, and con -
Optimization and Control Richard Weber, Lent Term 2016 Contents ...
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rrw1/oc/oc2016.pdf8 Mar 2016: 22. 6.3 Optimal stopping over the infinite horizon. 23. 6.4 Example: sequential probability ratio test. ... 6516.2 Problems in which time appears explicitly. 6616.3 Example: monopolist. 6616.4 Example: neoclassical economic growth. -
Confounder adjustment in large-scale linear structural models
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/publication/cate-mutual-fund/slides.pdf3 Jun 2024: I In R, run summary(lm(YX)).I Equivalent to a two-sample t-test with equal variance. ... Journal of Financial Economics, 33(1).7. Carhart, M. M. (1997). “On persistence in mutual fund performance.” Journal of Finance, 52(1). -
Biometrika (2015), 102, 2, pp. 315–323 doi:…
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rjs57/Biometrika-2015-Yu-315-23.pdf23 Oct 2016: 3). If we are interested in the middle block of eigenvectors correspondingto those with corresponding eigenvalue 3 in , then for every orthogonal matrix Ô Rdd ,. ‖V̂ Ô V ‖F = 21/2‖ ... Fan and X. Han (arXiv: 1305.7007) on estimating the false -
Optimization and Control Richard Weber, Michaelmas Term 2014 Contents …
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rrw1/oc/oc2014.pdf29 Nov 2014: 22. 6.3 Optimal stopping over the infinite horizon. 23. 6.4 Example: sequential probability ratio test. ... 6416.2 Problems in which time appears explicitly. 6516.3 Example: monopolist. 6516.4 Example: neoclassical economic growth. -
Publications | Statistical Laboratory
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/publications?cid=2092072041&clv=1&kw=%E9%80%8F%E6%B0%A3%E9%9E%8B&p=%E9%80%8F%E6%B0%A3%E9%9E%8B&page=577 Jul 2024: SM Pitts, K Politis. – Insurance Mathematics and Economics. (2008). 42,. ... 668. (doi:Bacon sandwiches and middle - Class drinkers: The risk of communicating risk. -
Journal of Machine Learning Research 15 (2014) 629-654 Submitted ...
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rds37/papers/Shah%20Meinshausen%202013%20Random%20Intersection%20Trees27 May 2014: To evaluate the performance of Random Intersection Trees, we divide the documentsinto a training and test set with the first batch of 23, 149 documents as training and the. ... 645. Shah and Meinshausen. following 30000 documents as test documents. We -
STATISTICAL MODELLING Part IIC, Michaelmas 2021 Practical 8:…
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/teaching/modelling-2022/P8.pdf3 Jun 2024: mod2 <- glm(Freq subject_msubject_f match, data=SD_subj, family=poisson). > anova(mod1, mod2, test="LR"). ... Therefore we can calculate the approximate p-value for the test above with. > -
Optimization and Control Contents Table of Contents i Schedules ...
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rrw1/oc/oc2013.pdf22 May 2013: 22. 6.3 Optimal stopping over the infinite horizon. 22. 6.4 Sequential Probability Ratio Test. ... 6615.4 Problems in which time appears explicitly. 6615.5 Example: monopolist. 6715.6 Example: neoclassical economic growth. -
A More General Pandora’s Rule Richard Weber, University of ...
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rrw1/talks/LSEseminar13113.pdf14 Nov 2013: 5/57 ,. Varian’s problem: ‘economics and search’. Hal Varian (1999) put Weitzman’s problem like this:. ... If time for two books, show Lonely Planet. 6/57 ,. Varian’s problem: ‘economics and search’. -
History of the Statistical Laboratory | Statistical Laboratory
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/history-statistical-laboratory7 Jul 2024: Relief came via Dennis Lindley, who was then in the middle of his classic work on queues. -
Editorial: Special Issue on "Nonparametric Inference Under Shape …
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~rjs57/STS673.pdf29 Nov 2018: Shape-constrained proce-dures are also commonly used in economics (Matzkin,1991, Varian, 1984) and survival analysis, for instancein the interval-censoring problem and hazard func-tion estimation; see the recent ... In the first part of the paper, applica -
Mendelian randomization
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/talk/mr-tutorial/slides.pdf3 Jun 2024: 7/40. IV in Economics: Effect of military service on earnings2. Lottery number Z Military service X Earning Y. ... administrative records. American Economic Review, 80(3), 313–336. 8/40. Results of the Vietnam-war lottery study. -
Regression tree algorithms with applications to missing…
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/files/whittlelectures/Trees.pdf12 May 2022: The lectures will present a mix of theory, methodology, andapplications, including examples from economics, medicine, public health, and automo-tive engineering. ... Example with data from experiments on vehicle crash tests. Lecture 6 (May 25) Models for -
Will competition-winning methods for causal inference also succeed in …
www.statslab.cam.ac.uk/~qz280/publication/acic-competition-comment/paper.pdf3 Jun 2024: REFERENCES. Angrist, J. D. and Krueger, A. B. (1999). Empirical strategies in labor economics. ... TheAmerican Economic Review Papers and Proceedings 93 126-132. Keele, L. and Small, D.
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